If the predicted outcome does not take place, the no shares are. . Frontpage. Unlike the prices in. 3%: $882,928. PredictIt is an online political futures market in which users purchase shares relating to the outcome of political events using real money. Crypto prediction markets,. Site: PredictIt. PolyMarket is an “information markets platform” that allows traders to use the Polygon blockchain to make bets on the outcome of events. A federal court is allowing PredictIt to keep its political futures markets online while it pursues litigation against a federal agency trying to shut the site down. What that meant, essentially, is the CFTC allowed. Santos didn’t just like watching the demigods who inhabited that world; he had dreams of that kind of fame for himself. PredictIt: . It's a. by Feb. Many of PredictIt’s markets focus on political outcomes, like midterm results or the presidential race. Getty; The Atlantic. It seems like PredictIt's 10% effectively moves the point at which it isn't worth it to correct the inefficiency further out from equilibrium than in the case of free trades. Search similar titlesPredictIt. PredictIt is structurally inefficient. No Bitcoin support. Shares can be. Well, because of the Sandwich bot issue, I couldn't be bothered to figure out how to bridge funds & LP via a relayer as some roundabout way to actually place bets (which was an intermediate way the team found to avoid the bots, but wasn't exactly the best UI) while my crypto experience extended to having some play-funds on Aave & more reading than using in general. according to forecasting site PredictIt. November 14, 2022. 205 Pennsylvania Avenue SE . In Trump's first year in office, PredictIt's population of traders has grown to 80,000 from 50,000 as the White House deals political junkies a litany of new policy, personnel and, yes, Twitter. However, it was the only serious site that received a regulatory waiver. High fees on profits and withdrawals. Touch upon this story Remark In 2016, Jason Pipkin was working in a biology lab at Brandeis College, authoring papers with titles corresponding to “Mapping the thoughts of a fly,” when he first heard of PredictIt. As far as reliability goes, consider that PM are a very new thing, so I recommend you use precaution with all of them for the time being. That legal matter involves a No Action letter that the CFTC issued then withdrew in. John Aristotle Philips, founder of the political wagering site PredictIt, appeared on Michael Smerconish's CNN show Saturday morning to discuss how the US Government is trying to shut. PredictIt told its U. Project 2. Today's most actual and recent Forex Forecasts. Predictit's top competitors include Kalshi, Consensus Point, and Augur. So even though it seems like our investment costs $1. This article is for subscribers only. By Danny Funt. These are just two examples of the larger narrative, which is that betting markets have continued to. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. at the University of Iowa. since 2014. A maximum of $850 in betting per person per contract ( not per market) A substantial house cut of 10% on profits and 5% on withdrawals. PredictIt provides many markets with futures contracts linked to political issues, ranging from ongoing policy outcomes to political elections. elections, the odds of a “red wave” seemed pretty favorable. It’s a web site the place you possibly can place bets and win cash on political outcomes. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. PredictIt is a New Zealand -based online prediction market that offers exchanges on political and financial events. PredictIt is a stock market-style prediction platform that allows users to “buy” and “sell” shares in events, with the value of their shares determined by the likelihood of the event occurring. A world-leading political predictions market led by a New Zealand university is set to close its doors after American regulators concluded it was breaching its terms of operation. Forecastr is a. PredictIt Market Probabilities. See how Predictit compares to similar products. There are tens of thousands of PredictIt traders with modest investments and quality research done by more than 200 academic research partners that rely on the use of the site's anonymized data. In 2016, they, like most everyone else, thought Hillary Clinton would become president. It reads: PredictIt, a nonprofit exchange that limits speculation to $850 per event, is the most accessible site for Americans. PredictIt essentially functions similar to a stock market. S. One example is BetFair, which is predominantly for sports betting. Compare your predictions with other traders and see how the market reacts to news and events. 99 per share. The PredictIt exchange is similar to a stock exchange, where traders can buy or sell up until the event in question – such as the 2024 presidential election – concludes. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has revoked a letter it sent last year to PredictIt organizers that vacated its. PredictIt’s non-profit status has allowed it to operate legally by obtaining a no-action letter from the CFTC, the U. This is a list of sites where you can bet on politics. . PredictIt was told to shutter in the U. I propose developing a read only API that allows people to track markets and have Apps, widgets, and email alerts without you having to develop them yourselves. S. Unlike those betting sites, PredictIt operates in a similar. The Republicans were given a 65. TradeFair is an online trading platform that provides a secure, fast, and easy way to trade stocks, ETFs,. What I don't like about PredictIt is that they charge 5% on withdrawals plus other. The site has become a mainstay in virtually all. Those heavily favored to be Trump states have (less than 15% change of Biden win on FiveThirtyEight) are actually less favored to go for Trump on PredictIt. PredictIt, one of the most popular American prediction markets, operates as a non-profit research project limited to 5,000 betters for each event. PredictIt and Victoria University use the results from the market for statistical analysis, market theory, and trader psychology, and as supporting data for research papers and analyses. PredictIt injunction kept political betting site open The Commodity and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) fired back last week in an appeal proceeding at light speed over whether the popular election betting prediction site PredictIt will close, at least temporarily, on February 15 at 11:59 PM. Rank in the United States. Because of the market's structure, smart money cannot (given the first two reasons) or will not (given the third reason) fix all. You can find analysis on topics such as the 2020 election, the Supreme Court, the coronavirus, and more. CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam shared insights on the future of regulated prediction markets like Kalshi during a recent panel discussion. Like Miller, many of the top speculators on PredictIt are political junkies who win money with a mix of savvy and speed. Looking for brands like Predictit? We've researched the 8 top alternatives to Predictit and summarized the best options here in this Predictit competitors grid. On Tuesday evening, I logged on to PredictIt, America’s favorite political-betting site, to watch the Election Night chaos. 5,646. Accepts American customers. On PredictIt, the most popular prediction market platform, over 90 million shares (valued from $0. Political betting site fights regulators. It’s important to keep in mind that PredictIt acts within a grey area; similar to offshore sportsbooks. Coin Prices. Mehmet Oz This is a highly contentious race for a seat being vacated by Republican Pat Toomey that, like in Georgia, sees a Donald Trump-endorsed celebrity candidate. We need more platforms like PredictIt to operate markets and promote discussion on events of public interest, not fewer. PredictIt, a leading political prediction market, is closing its doors on Feb. By 2022, it had 80,000 active users, which was a combination of both casual bettors and those that took politics very. But PredictIt now faces closure after falling foul of regulators, Sam Sachdeva reports. provider of data processing and verification services. org in July 2023 are ranked by their affinity to predictit. Consequential issues,. Of course, spoofing requires spending money to buy shares, with no guarantee of profit, but this can be a small price to pay for this supposed. 01 to $0. This does not increase if you do arbitrage. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. m. At the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting today the Federal Reserve said that it was keeping short-term. Directory of sites Login Contact Support. Regulators want it shut down. 1: People who bet. PredictIt and Aristotle, which is the parent company for PredictIt, have said they must start work soon on a system that would allow them to settle contracts for a value between $1 and zero cents. PredictIt says it is not like an online gambling site because it mainly exists to supply its data to universities for academic research, one of the main reasons the U. Trump’s former lawyer, Michael Cohen, reportedly arranged a $130,000 payment to silence Daniels about an alleged affair with Trump. 2,678Posts. Lemmy is probably one of those alternatives that come very close to functioning exactly like Reddit. According to Aristotle and PredictIt co-founder and CEO, John Phillips, in response to the decision: "This is a sweeping victory for prediction markets like PredictIt and those who find value in. It operates on a much smaller scale, however. S. godaddy. 4, 2022, threatens to harm not only the value of modest investments of more than 80,000 PredictIt traders, but the quality of the anonymized data used by more than. electoral-vote. PredictIt is a platform where you can trade shares on the outcome of political events and make predictions about the future. 35 shortly after his launch to $0. 6. PredictIt works by having users buy shares in a given candidate’s likelihood of reaching a certain outcome while running for office, somewhat similar to the stock market. Only moderators, or moderator-approved users, can create Prediction Tournaments. g. On the 2022 campaign trail he once joked in a previously unreported tape. The other is a similar exchange from the University of Iowa, which has been active since the mid-1990s. I only estimated betting market prices for nine candidates who had robust markets at both exchanges. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. GOP 2024 presidential nominee. 2. 8 million shares were traded on PredictIt for the speaker contest, jumping to 12. Augur is a blockchain-based platform owned by its users. The CFTC realized that University of Victoria Wellington had turned this supposed "small scale educational" venture into a for-profit betting site. A share on PredictIt settles at $1 if the listed event comes to pass and $0 if it doesn’t, and its price fluctuates somewhere in the middle meanwhile. ’. The CFTC feels that the ruling in United States v. Update: PredictIt. Predictable Insights provides a unique, crowdsourced perspective at the intersection of politics and prediction markets. After betting big on the past two presidential. Political betting site fights regulators. Less than one year after committing to PredictIt full time, Rainbow Jeremy is on the top of the heap, making between $15,000 and $25,000 a month betting on congressional elections and Trump’s. PredictIt told its U. The top traffic source to marginalrevolution. package health package health 47/100 47/100. Ron DeSantis 41¢. Introduction. 3. org Brags and Beats. 202-543-8345According to Aristotle and PredictIt co-founder and CEO, John Phillips, in response to the decision: "This is a sweeping victory for prediction markets like PredictIt and those who find value in. The turned to PredictIt because it allowed them to place wagers that were a touch more niche than standard bookmakers offered, but now the site is shutting down and will be missed by those s. Join PredictIt today and test your political savvy. Canada: Live stream, start time, aggregate score for Nations League quarterfinal second leg;PredictItSo there's an argument that I've seen a lot over the past few years, particularly in LW-adjacent circles, that goes something like this: This post is dedicated to disagreeing with that argument, not from an anti-Efficient-Market Hypothesis position, but from a pro-Efficient-Market Hypothesis position. View election betting odds for those candidates and more below. com election betting odds by maxim lott and john stossel live. 12 for Democrats to win, . This map will track the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. predictions_1 = predictit. PredictIt is a platform where you can trade shares on the outcome of US elections and political events. Last updated on 2023/04/11PredictIt is a platform where you can bet on political outcomes, such as which party will win the U. Number of elections simulated each hour. predict(data=np. Our Customers. PolyMarket: . When Republicans and Democrats hold 50 seats each, control of the Senate is determined by the party that holds the vice presidency. [1] PredictIt is owned and operated by Victoria University of. org Brags and Beats. Each edition includes an update on the politics driving the week that was as well as highlights from PredictIt’s market analysts. Scoring Midterm Election Forecasts Performance metrics for PredictIt, FiveThirtyEight, and Manifold MarketsPredictItNo. 85. Gambling platform PredictIt has been told to shut up shop by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for failure to comply with regulations. S. letter. “The CFTC action taken on Aug. To put it simply, PredictIt allows customers to trade “yes” and “no” shares on the outcomes of future political events at prices ranging from $0. A maximum of $850 in betting per person per contract ( not per market) A substantial house cut of 10% on profits and 5% on withdrawals. Free Tools. Although numerous bookmakers. When/if PredictIt's odds become more efficient and get close to 100%, this site's main page will include the odds. Yale astrophysicist Greg Laughlin launched the site a year ago with physicist Anthony Aguirre of the University of California-Santa Cruz and their former postdoc Max Wainwright. Low $850 cap on maximum position in a contract. PredictIt (prediction market, $850 limit per contract, commission 10% of net winnings per market + 5% of total withdrawal amount) Crypto (unregulated, act accordingly): FTX (betting exchange, 0. In 2022, overpayments within the SSI program topped $4. High fees on profits and withdrawals. randn(100, 2), predicted_column=1, predicts=3) There are only two positional arguments data and predicted_column (because, there is more than a. org after the election, but I was unable to join since I don't live in. org News and Media website This domain provided by whois. Join our Discord for discussion and help: project of Victoria University of Wellington, PredictIt has been established to facilitate research into the way markets forecast events. You will have $160 to bet on events. 8. The betting odds website "PredictIt" is a joke (Original post) Talking Tom: Mar 2019: OP: Betting markets have proven accuracy. 9. It captured GOP strength in key states that almost all mainstream pollsters. Follow the latest trends, insights and analysis from PredictIt's community of traders and experts. The agency rejected a 2012 proposal by the North American Derivatives Exchange (NADE) on the basis that the proposed. We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. A week before Election Day, she was a 75% favorite. In order to enable researchers to take advantage of the opportunities presented by prediction markets, we make our data available to the academic community at no cost. com Analytics and market share drilldown here. Find Predictit's competitors, compare Predictit's features and pricing vs. 1. Predictit - Arizona Senate Race. November. Adding some further comments on the performance of prediction markets in the 2020 election here - while the election is still ongoing, I think so far it seems to support the. Have 3 partnerships in the year following launch of the company. The site has become a mainstay in virtually all election discussions, alongside political projections from sites like FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics. Profit. [3] The company's office is located in Washington, D. 5M shares traded. 5. 3: Polls. Lawyers for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) submitted a new document to the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals on June 28, drawing the court’s attention to a recent Supreme Court decision. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Explore the markets for the 2020 US presidential election, the impeachment of Donald Trump, the 2022 Brazil presidential election and more. It’s like a stock market where you buy and sell $1 winner- take- all shares, where two people…Headquarters Location. A federal court is allowing PredictIt to keep its political futures markets online while it pursues litigation against a federal agency trying to shut the site down. C. PredictIt is operating under an academic exemption, too, but it has had to fight to retain it. Participants buy shares in an outcome, like who will win a Senate race, for between 1 and 99 cents. Like stocks, investors want to buy low and then unload when the value is much higher. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). 89 for Republicans to win. More than 19 million shares were traded on the House speaker question leading up to McCarthy’s ultimate ascension this. Additionally, the site charges a 5% fee to withdraw money. ). International filed a lawsuit on Friday, Sept. A screen capture of PredictIt. Although there are many config variables, defaults should be enough. Copy Markdown Copy reStructuredText. Since the. Predictit 's alternatives and competitors. Do not assume that Internet gaming sites are in compliance with the rules and regulations of every jurisdiction from which they accept players. Cage began scanning PredictIt for QAnon theories and betting against them. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It sounds like fun, but is it all sunshine and roses? We have the answers in our. PredictIt is a betting exchange, like a stock market. 01 to $0. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Follow PredictIt Political Analysis to get a deeper understanding of how the markets react to the news and what. 01 to $0. 24 Tuesday, with over half of that drop coming in the past week, amid a bizarre and. 4. The site, launched in 2014 as a sort of educational. Donald Trump is +150, and Michelle Obama is +1600. Santos didn’t just like watching the demigods who inhabited that world; he had dreams of that kind of fame for himself. random. # 108,710 6,054. Everything has been going well since. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. F. A smaller political predictions market is Iowa Electronic Markets, at the University of Iowa. it looks like we could be in for an election week, or perhaps even longer,” he added. Even if the CFTC follows through on its initial decision to shut the site down, it’s hard not to feel that PredictIt has, in some more. Help companies get their products out by using our site. I think you would be better off building something on top of Augur. PredictIt: . Spend 25% of revenues on advertising to make consumers more aware of our service. Welcome to PredictZ! PredictZ provides free football tips and predictions, free analysis, football form and statistics, the latest results and league tables and much more. It reads:PredictIt, a nonprofit exchange that limits speculation to $850 per event, is the most accessible site for Americans. Most of these don’t actually process real-money trades from their members, and those that do – namely PredictIt – have been excluded from the oversight of US gambling. Please feel free suggest more sites in the comments section and they will be added to the list. Mehmet Oz This is a highly. 1 min read 7th Dec 2020 2 answers No comments. Updated every four hours, this is an electoral map based on the then-current PredictIt market odds for the 2020 presidential election. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. His campaign released internal polling that put him in the lead, with his support doubling once voters were told that Trump supports him. 6 billion, which is similar to previous years. The markets featured on the site have also become progressively wilder since inception: Some are effectively grim deathwatches, while for over a year PredictIt even ran markets on how many times. Website. 2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map. We need more platforms like PredictIt to operate markets and promote discussion on events of public interest, not fewer. . After the market resolves, redeem your winning shares for $1 each. S. To be most effective on political betting sites like PredictIt, you need to be able to filter out the noise and seek out information. com at 2012-04-02T14:30:48Z (11 Years, 7 Days ago) , expired at 2025-04-02T14:30:48Z (1 Year, 357 Days left). There are a few places where you can "place bets" or "buy shares" in current events such as electoral results, polling, Supreme Court decisions, etc…Other prediction markets have faced similar regulatory scrutiny. Posted onAugust 5, 2022 by Yves Smith. electoral-vote. 50, our maximum risk is actually $0. Here is a look at the odds to win US President in 2024. But, nested under their “Sports” categories is an obscure sport called “Politics”! One of the markets here is in fact the same one on PredictIt: “Trump Exit Date”. org - Top 45 predictit. Regarding the variety in markets offered, Kalshi definitely stands out for offering a wider range of markets for users to participate in. 202-543-8345. Similar Sites & predictit. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University. Menu. org competitors and alternatives. There's a large community of open source developers that would gladly develop small modules around the Predict It data. You can buy and sell shares of candidates and parties, and earn money if your predictions are correct. Saved Stories. org competitors and alternatives. e. Your global no limit betting exchange. PredictIt’s operating expenses are covered by charging a fee of 10% on earnings in excess of the original investment and by charging an additional 5% withdrawal fee. BetMoose. # 1. While markets like PredictIt meet the demand of those who want to speculate on political outcomes, they also accommodate businesses that seek to hedge against adverse consequences from such outcomes. com, Dr. Reddit is not the first platform to attempt a gamification of crowdsourcing, though others like PredictIt have. Per PredictIt’s no-action letter, PredictIt users cannot make more than $850 in any position. Usage format_market_data(data) Arguments data ’PredictIt’ market data, of class data. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Specifically, we examine trading data from PredictIt, which is a prediction market exchange that provides many markets linked to political issues, ranging from ongoing policy outcomes to political. It’s a way to monetize things like 2022 midterm predictions. Looking for brands like Predictit? We've researched the 8 top alternatives to Predictit and summarized the best options here in this Predictit competitors grid. S. BetFair uses odds just as American sportsbooks do when taking action on the results of games. The site slightly favors Clinton to win North Carolina, while giving an edge to Trump in Florida. Pennsylvania: John Fetterman vs. TOP LINE Politics is full of bold, outlandish predictions. If the outcome takes place, the yes shares are redeemed for $1 and the no shares expire worthless. “The whole idea of prediction markets, that groups of people with different perspectives can make more accurate predictions than the ‘experts,’ is almost like. The U. Proponents of political betting – including economists like Jason Furman — argue it’s a better gauge of where voters stand than polling and is a hedging tool for. Prices on Smarkets rate the Republicans as 65%. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. The site is now selling shares — taking bets on future political events — for 10. 99 each) have traded on the presidential election market. Analyze websites like predictit. org competitors and alternatives. C. The Top 10 Sites Like predictit. Jamaica v. . A project of Aristotle, a data company, and the Victoria University of Wellington. T. This is why pure arbitrage that frees up capital can continue. Sites similar to predictit. Instead, they had just revoked a no-action letter, even though that no-action letter was effectively ensuring that the CFTC would not go after the site, and its removal seemed like a foregone conclusion that the site would run afoul of the regulator at some point down the road. The goal of this project is to develop a tool that can be used to. Like PredictIt, the Iowa market operates under the academic exception made by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. PredictItHave you found a working PredictIt coupon that you'd like to share? Submit it here to help millions of other shoppers save at the checkout. A PredictIt review that explains how it works, what types of markets are offered and how to wager on political events at this legal betting site. The Fifth Circuit panel issued the decision on July 21 following a split 2-1 vote. Based on my experience thus far, however, I have no reason to believe PredictIt is anything other than what they claim to be– a legal nonprofit with a background in. TOP LINE Politics is full of bold, outlandish predictions. wider elections, the stock market, the real estate market, etc. PredictItPredictIt is a platform where you can make predictions on political events and trade shares based on their outcomes. In Virginia, it had Youngkin up to 60% when the media was still calling it tossup to tilt D. According to Aristotle and PredictIt co-founder and CEO, John Phillips, in response to the decision: "This is a sweeping victory for prediction markets like PredictIt and those who find value in. Rajiv Sethi focuses on the likelihood that PredictIt will have to wind down operations, and the messiness and gaming opportunities that will result from having to close out contracts that expire after PredictIt ends operations. 11 for Democrats to win, . PredictIt works in a nonprofit arrangement with Victoria University in New. was running it; that a subsidiary of the university was receiving compensation from Aristotle, despite the university promising not to profit from the site; and that the site had reneged on its agreement to only take bets on two. 94% of traffic. Produced by ElevenLabs and NOA, News Over Audio, using AI narration. New research shows that the best way to improve overall predictive accuracy is by aggregating the forecasts from the best forecasters in a group. Political bettors on the PredictIt exchange were enraged when they went to buy or sell shares of the 2020 outcome and found the site inaccessible. As of January 3, 11. These assets trade between 0% and 100%, represented by $0 to $1. Capping. Subjectively, I’ve found that predictit comes to a similar conclusion to conventional wisdom but it does it faster and more decisively. You're one click away from the most comprehensive, unmatched analyst expertise in tech, in-depth private company data and a platform that brings it all together. Yves here. org. So, bettors could lose a major election betting market after the 2022 midterms. Predictit's top competitors include Kalshi, Consensus Point, and Augur. Like all prediction markets, traditional or otherwise, the PredictIt shows Biden as the favorite to win. Fortunately, they made an exception for PredictIt. We intend to continue operating existing markets for trading through Feb. Embed Package Health Score Badge. Site has approval of government officials. Explore the markets on Trump administration, such as whether he will run for president or the House of Representatives in 2022 or 2024, and see how other traders are betting on. That’s an essential reprieve with the original Feb 15 shutdown deadline now less than three weeks away. [laughter] Alright, so PredictIt is what’s called a prediction market. Saved Stories. It operates on a much smaller scale, however. election is the main attraction for political futures traders today. com is the website with the highest similarity score to predictit. Donald Trump 34¢. The CFTC has tried to stop Predictit, one of the most successful online prediction markets, from operating in the U. org alternatives Like 0 electionbettingodds. Predictit, the most often referenced one, has a fee structure that makes it horribly inefficient: they take 10% of all winnings on a given bet and 5% of all withdrawals from the site. In addition, you can join various forums to have discussions with like-minded folks. US President Donald Trump Impeachment Odds Tracker. On Jan 18, the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals in New Orleans laid out a timeline for the case. PredictIt remains highly regulated and constrained by the terms of its agreement with the CFTC: Users can’t trade more than $850 on an individual bet, and there can be no more than 5,000 traders. Some platforms like Metaculus and Hypermind use volunteers with prizes, others, like PredictIt and Smarkets are formal betting markets. ". According to Nate Silver’s site, this election is still close to a tossup, whereas the wagering on PredictIt suggests it’s all but decided. You can explore the latest trends, analysis, and commentary on various topics, such as Trump's influence, the 2020 election, and more. Is there a good alternative in the US for PredictIt? Has anyone on here used it before? Since they only offer pay by credit card, does the credit card treat the payment. Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day. Sites similar to predictit. The site is supported by Aristotle International, Inc. after being granted a No-Action Letter by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It began operating back in 2014 and, despite its somewhat niche subject matter, soon became quite popular.